This video from You Tube User Steven Vasco captured Monday’s tornado in Revere, Massachusetts.
A large scale severe weather event is expected to unfold across the Ohio River Valley into Central Appalachia, leading into the Mid-Atlantic tomorrow.
A deepening trough will support strengthening of a 1004mb cyclone over the Great Lakes region into the Ohio River Valley on Sunday. The potency of the trough will deliver a swath of very cold air to the mid-levels of the atmosphere, which will generate an extremely unstable environment across the Ohio River Valley into the Mid-Atlantic region. Ongoing morning thunderstorm activity is likely antecedent to the cold front as it moves eastward, but rising temperatures will further destabilize the region which will lead to widespread severe thunderstorm development. All storm modes are likely, including the risk for extreme wind, very large hail and tornadoes… Given the impressive wind profiles from the surface to the mid-levels, some STRONG tornadoes could be possible, delineating across eastern Kentucky / Ohio / West Virginia / western Maryland and Virginia / west-central Pennsylvania. Current forecast soundings are continuing to indicate strong westerly flow aloft, which will allow for storms to cluster together and propagate at modest speeds across the terrain.
Here are two forecast soundings, initialized at 2pm EDT today and valid 2pm EDT Sunday:
These soundings indicate strong instability (CAPE), with values between 2,000-3,000j/kg. Additionally, wind shear will be supportive of supercell development and the possibility of tornadoes along with the aforementioned severe hail and wind. There does not appear to be much capping in place tomorrow. Spatiotemporally, there could be widespread explosive storm development in the early afternoon across much of the region. Storms at this time are looking to amalgamate into a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) rather than linear in the latter part of the afternoon; however, all storm modes are to be realized.
Models are indicating very cold air will settle in aloft. With the cold air in place, this will enhance the risk for significant hail in any rotating storm which could also promote intense supercellular development in the Ohio River Valley into Appalachia. This is a large scale event and will initiate in the Ohio River Valley and propagate eastward toward the Mid-Atlantic and coastal regions in the afternoon.
It is a very good idea to have a NOAA Weather Radio on hand, and to also tune into your local news and radio stations tomorrow as they can provide instant hazardous weather information when severe weather impedes your area.
Hot As Heck in Hays These Days; Alaska Wonders What That’s Like
Hays, Kansas has been under a Heat Advisory for much of the week. Kenai, Alaska is enjoying its fishing season – but also much cooler weather than the contiguous U.S.
KKQY-FM (Hays, KS) OM Boomer has been finding creative ways to keep the temperature down. “It’s been so hot here in Hays that I have been leaving the toilet seat up just to get an ICY stare from my wife.” KKNI-FM (Kenai, AK) GM Bill King (whose photo looks a lot like that of a moose) says, “Our 70 degree highs are way better than 105. If it was that hot we’d have to set up a sprinkler for the moose in our yard.”
Green Bay Turns Down the Heat; Still Too Hot in Arizona
Wisconsin is already prepping for football weather, and the Southwest feels like the Southeast. WOVM-FM (Green Bay) OM Shaun Shouldeen is from Georgia, and doesn’t mind the cold & dry. “High 60’s plus no humidity equals perfection to this Georgia boy!” KKYZ-FM (Sierra Vista, AZ) OM Jeff Davenport says, “We are hot and humid with highs in the 90’s here, but everyday we are getting monsoon storms. We like the rain, but our radio towers don’t like the lightning!”
A severe weather outbreak is currently underway across portions of the Mid-Atlantic region into the Northeast where a strong cold front associated with a potent trough is causing a line of storms to explode rapidly.
An unstable environment is currently in place across a large spatial region from North Carolina into Northeastern PA and Southwestern New York where a strong cold front is generating a massive line of thunderstorms. The line will be capable of producing widespread destructive gusts and isolated large hail. Isolated weak / brief tornadoes and[or] embedded circulations within the line are also possible. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch (WW #423) has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center including the regions of Southwest Connecticut, District of Columbia, Delaware, Central and Eastern Maryland, Northern North Carolina, New Jersey, Southeast New York, Southeastern PA, Central and Eastern Virginia, as well as the Eastern West Virginia Panhandle and the Coastal Waters until 9:00pm EDT. Another Severe Watch is likely to be issued for southern New England concerning the threat for damaging winds and large hail. Monitor your local news and radio stations for real-time information regarding the threat this afternoon.
Morning sounding observations across the region have indicated a very warm and moist boundary, where southwesterly unidirectional winds strengthen abruptly in the low-levels of the atmosphere. Given that the winds remain unidirectional into the upper levels, the main storm mode this afternoon will be widespread damaging winds. Although as aforementioned, isolated large hail events are likely within the most intense storm clusters within the line as it propagates eastward toward the New York City – Philadelphia – Washington D.C. megapolis corridor. Soundings indicate CAPE (measure of instability) around 2,500 – 3,500j/kg, which will amalgamate storms into a larger scale as the afternoon progresses. Storm motion across the region appears to be relatively out of the west and will be advancing eastward at about 40-50mph. Updraft heights will be conducive for storms to also produce continuous and deadly cloud-to-ground lightning. Be sure to move indoors when severe storms occur. The severe threat will begin to diminish in the evening as daytime surface heating is lost and the boundary layer begins to cool.
Remember to have your NOAA Weather Radios turned on and to tune into your local news and radio stations as they can provide real-time information when severe weather impedes your area.
HURRICANE ARTHUR CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST TOWARD THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA AND IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AFTER LANDFALL TONIGHT.
As of the 8pm EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Arthur had maximum sustained winds of 90MPH with a minimum pressure of 977mb. Arthur continues to move north-northeastward and is starting to accelerate, now moving at 15mph. Recent visible satellite and infrared imagery has shown a well defined eye with explosive convective cumulus towering around the eye-wall, with overshooting tops on the eastern and northern quadrants of the eye-wall. These intense bands and clusters within the eye-wall are locations of the strongest surface winds, and hurricane force winds will be imminent along the Outer Banks and Barrier Islands of North Carolina. Further intensification of Arthur is expected to Category-2 status near or after landfall on the North Carolina coastline. Landfall is expected in the next few hours as the eye is currently passing southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina (as of 8:01pm EDT). That said, storm surge and inland flooding are now of major concern. Storm surge forecasts as per the NHC experimental Storm Surge maps are indicating 6+ feet of storm surge throughout the Barrier Islands into the North Carolina mainland. Additionally, major inland flooding will be imminent. Training bands of very heavy rain where increased convergence is occurring will be likely as Hurricane Arthur makes landfall. Current indications of 4-6 inches of rain are likely, with 8+ inches locally expected. As per the Weather Prediction Center, some rain bands have unloaded over an inch of rain in 40 minutes in some areas. A Tornado Watch related to Hurricane Arthur is also effective for Coastal North Carolina until 2am EDT where some tornadoes and waterspouts may occur, a few of which may be intense due to an increase in low-level wind shear.
Further north, influences of Hurricane Arthur are already under way in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states. Moisture transport ahead of Hurricane Arthur is causing a major influx of moisture throughout a corridor along Appalachia. Storm mergers and training bands of very heavy rain are ongoing and will be possible the rest of the evening as Hurricane Arthur continues to trek north-northeastward. Ongoing thunderstorms and storms that fire in the evening as well will have the potential to produce extremely heavy rain fall rates, some in excess of 1-2 IN/HR. Widespread Flash Flooding is highly likely throughout the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeastern states.
Additionally, latest Ocean Prediction Center analyses are showing significant wave heights just off the North Carolina shorelines. Waves in some areas are in excess of 20-feet, with some reaching near 30-feet. RIP CURRENT DANGER WILL BE EXTREMELY HIGH, POSSIBLY LIFE-THREATENING, EVEN AFTER THE HURRICANE HAS PASSED. DO NOT ENTER THE OCEAN UNTIL THE BEACH PATROL AND/OR LIFEGUARDS HAVE DEEMED IT SAFE TO DO SO. High Surf Advisories have also been issued further north along the Virginia / Maryland / Delaware coastlines where waves may be approaching the 6-8ft mark. Beach erosion can be expected along the North Carolina coast and further northward even though Arthur is expected to veer out to sea.
A major severe weather outbreak is underway for the Middle and Upper Mississippi River Valley today into the evening. The potential exists for widespread damaging winds, extremely large / destructive hail and tornadoes, some of which may be intense.
Morning surface analysis and observed soundings across the Mid-West have indicated a volatile environment conducive for widespread severe thunderstorm development that is already underway, and will persist into the afternoon and the night. The 12z (7am CDT) observed sounding from Quad Cities, Iowa, sampled backed southeasterly surface winds before an abrupt shift to southwesterly in the lowest levels of the atmosphere. That said, CAPE indices are expected to rise to 4,000-5,000j/kg, delineating an extremely unstable boundary layer. Gradually with height, winds become more unidirectional from the west. The clockwise wind curvature from the surface to low-levels and strong winds aloft yields to the possibility of numerous tornadoes, some of which may be intense throughout the Mid-West this afternoon within the discrete supercells. Aside the tornado threat, the extreme moisture content throughout the region, coupled with strong wind parameters will also be supportive of damaging to hurricane force winds within stronger supercells. The wind threat will grow more upscale into the afternoon and evening, congealing into a squall line and[or] derecho event. Storm mergers and consolidation are likely this afternoon and regardless of whether or not storms are discrete or linear, supercells will have the potential to produce GIANT hail given the extreme instability and wind fields, which will allow for updrafts to sustain themselves for long periods… Long-lived supercells are possible.
Current visible satellite imagery is already showing widespread and explosive convective growth across eastern Nebraska into Iowa. With strong surface heating in areas to the east that are not currently exposed to complete cloud cover, robust atmospheric destabilization is already underway. Despite the ongoing activity, the longevity of the events today will continue to persist and will evolve into a more widespread and hazardous event into the night. Aside the the main storm modes, flash flooding is also of concern given very high values of moisture present in the current state of the atmosphere. This evening after storms conglomerate, widespread flash flooding appears to be very high threat. If you see a roadway that is flooded, turn around and do not drown.
If you have not already done so, now is the time to prepare and have an action plan ready. Be sure to have your NOAA Weather Radios turned on and tune into your local news media and radio stations to receive real-time hazardous weather information when it impedes your area. Don’t be scared, be prepared.
A significant severe weather outbreak is likely today across the middle to upper Mississippi River Valley into the central Great Plains. The potential exists for very large / damaging hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes.
Observed sounding observations from Omaha, Nebraska this morning indicate a very unstable boundary, where measured CAPE (atmospheric instability) is around 2,300-2,400j/kg. Coincident with that, low-level southwesterly winds continue to surge moisture into the area before shifting clockwise into a more impressive unidirectional westerly wind at the mid-levels of the atmosphere. A temperature inversion also exists in the morning sounding but has eroded due to surface heating, but is indicative of a strong cap in place. Very cold air aloft will be supportive of supercells capable of producing very large, intense / destructive hail (e.g. baseballs). Additionally, the strong mid-level winds aloft will also increase the potential for widespread damaging wind events, and the 50-60mph effective-shear environment coupled with strong CAPE will be conducive for the development of a few tornadic supercells as indicated per morning sounding observations across the central Plains. Temperatures may to rise into the mid-upper 80s, coupled with dew points in the upper 60s / lower 70s and may favor widespread storm development in the afternoon. However, with the ongoing morning thunderstorm activity across the region, there could be a delay and[or] suppression of the thunderstorm vigor.
As per latest visible satellite imagery, widespread storm develop is already ongoing throughout the central Plains. Now whether or not these storms can dissipate and vaporize early enough, allowing for more volatile surface heating in the afternoon, will be a contributing factor on localized instability as well as surface temperatures. Regardless, the potential for widespread severe weather will exist throughout the central Plains / mid-upper Mississippi River Valley today. Within any severe storm, they will also have the potential to produce very heavy rains. Flash flooding could be very possible as well, on top of the other storm modes. I highly suggest that you have an action plan ready, in case your area is impacted by hazardous weather.
Remember to have your NOAA Weather Radios turned on today, as they relay instant hazardous weather information when it impacts your area.
Another multi-day severe weather outbreak is expected across the north-central Great Plains Friday into Saturday. Hazards include intense supercells capable of producing extremely large hail, damaging gusts and isolated tornadoes.
Across the north-central Plains Friday, widespread development of supercells are likely across the region. Forecast parameters are indicative of storms firing along the dry line (dew point gradient anyone?). Initially, storms will be capable of producing very large hail where cold air aloft will support rapid coalescence within the stronger updrafts. Mid-level winds are modest, but not impressive, so the evolution of quasi-linear storms / storm mergers are likely before evolving into a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS). Low to mid-level relative humidity will support torrential downpours as well, so flash flooding is definitely something to watch out for further into Friday night as storm consolidations get underway. Clock-wise turning winds with height, isolated tornadoes are also possible… Although at this time, the tornado threat does not appear to be significant, but still keep an eye out for those tornado warnings (especially when the storms are isolated in the early afternoon).
As nightfall occurs, the spatial coverage will increase rapidly as the storms merge into an MCS. The severe threat will become more widespread in the evening and a transition to more widespread damaging winds and flooding will be of concern across the central Plains.
Saturday: The severe risk continues across the Central / North-Central Plains.
Saturday does not seem at this time to be as impressive as Friday’s set up, given probable ongoing widespread cloud debris hampering any strong surface heating. That said, however, if storms can develop and remain isolated, then the potential will indeed exists for high-based supercells at first capable of producing very large hail and damaging winds. If re-development can occur despite cloud cover, there could be once again storm mergers / quasi-linear formation in the later afternoon into the evening hours across the central / north-central Plains. The tornado threat also remains isolated, though cannot be ruled out.
Be sure to have your NOAA Weather Radios turned on Friday and Saturday, as well as listen to your local news / radio stations for weather information when severe weather impedes your area.
As Severe Weather Season Hits the U.S., A Flurry of Radio Stations Turn to The Storm Report for 24/7 Custom Weather Forecasts and Updates
MARCH 11, 2014, BURBANK, CA— Benztown Radio Networks today announced that nationally syndicated custom weather service The Storm Report has welcomed 27 new radio station affiliates in the last three months, a growth rate of nearly 25%. The Storm Report is an award winning radio weather service produced by Dan Holiday Productions, dedicated to providing 24/7 customized weather, with daily live and recorded weather forecasts and severe weather updates for radio stations across the U.S. The Storm Report now serves 143 affiliates coast-to-coast and is syndicated by Benztown Radio Networks.
Dan Holiday, Meteorologist, President and Co-Founder of The Storm Report, said: “We are beyond excited to welcome our new affiliates to The Storm Report. Weather is one of the top two reasons listeners tune in to radio, and The Storm Report is known for a polished, professional and award-winning sound. We work with each station’s local programmers to include local events with its forecast to always deliver a hometown feel. Our Radio Weather Team of top meteorologists is dedicated to watching the radar, scanning the skies, and being stations’ source for weather information. We provide customized forecasts around the clock, emergency weather coverage, and social media tools to engage local audiences.”
Scott Donovan, KHOK Program Director, Morning Show Host, Music Director and Director of Sales, Great Bend, Kansas, said: “In the 30 years I have been in this business I can tell you everything about the on air product has changed. Dan Holiday delivers the one thing everybody wants to hear on the radio, the LOCAL weather forecast. He makes the forecast worth listening to, with updates throughout the day. He is the one radio meteorologist that cares about one thing, delivering the weather in a quick, precise, easy to listen to manner. We have SOLD OUT every weather update we offer on 100.7 Eagle Country and that adds to our bottom line.“
Randy Sherwyn, Program Director/Mornings, Sunny 106.3, Ft. Myers/Naples, Florida, said: “The Storm Report provides short, concise and ACCURATE custom forecasts! It’s like having a staff of great sounding Meteorologists that costs me less per month than a part-timer! Super NTR!”
The Storm Report provides complete real-time weather information for radio stations across the U.S. and their listeners. For more information about The Storm Report, visit www.thestormreport.com.
To get The Storm Report for your stations, contact Masa Patterson at Benztown at firstname.lastname@example.org or at (818) 842-4600. The show is available for cash or barter.
Benztown is an international radio imaging, production library, programming, and voiceover services company with over 1,900 affiliations on six different continents. In August, 2013, Benztown was recognized by Inc. magazine as one of America’s Fastest Growing Privately Held Companies, ranked at No. 983 on the exclusive Inc. 5000. With offices and studios in Los Angeles, New York, and Stuttgart, Benztown offers the highest quality imaging workparts for 20 libraries across 13 formats including AC, Hot AC, CHR, Country, Urban, Rhythmic, Classic Hits, Rock, News/Talk, Sports and JACK. Benztown’s industry-leading technology and proprietary web-based imaging solution, “Benztown Branding”, is used daily by nearly 1,200 radio stations worldwide. Benztown also provides custom voice-over and imaging services across all formats, including commercial voice-over and copywriting services. Benztown Radio Networks, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hollywood Radio Networks, is an international media syndication company providing unique, first-rate programming and features to radio stations and media companies.